Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Top doubles spot: Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) tops the board at 100, facing LHP MacKenzie Gore. The lefty is driving the ball at .068 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .143 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 7% of his trips. And MacKenzie Gore has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .133 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against MacKenzie Gore. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Wade Meckler (LAA) (100) vs RHP George Kirby: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.083).
- Carter Jensen (KC) (100) vs RHP Cristian Javier: an elite bat at .072 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (100) vs LHP Robbie Ray: an elite bat at .067 into an arm prone to extra-base damage from the same side (.048).
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) (100) vs LHP Parker Messick: an elite bat at .081 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.053), hot bat.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (100) vs RHP Ryan Gusto: a strong bat at .054 into an arm keeping the ball in front of the same side (.037).
- Ty France (SD) (96) vs RHP Mason Adams: an excellent bat at .060 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jose Altuve (HOU) (94) vs LHP Daniel Lynch IV: an elite bat at .063 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.079), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .053 against righties this year.
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .058 against righties this year.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — righty bat vs LHP, .101 against lefties this year.
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .115 against lefties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .045 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Carter Jensen (KC), Randal Grichuk (CWS), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Jackson Merrill (SD), and Adael Amador (COL). Cold but due to bounce back: Jose Altuve (HOU), Joshua Báez (STL), Yainer Diaz (HOU), Braxton Fulford (COL), and Austin Martin (MIN).
How it played out
3 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Wilyer Abreu finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.