Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Top doubles spot: Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk (CWS) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Parker Messick. The righty is driving the ball at .115 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .125 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And Parker Messick has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .053 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Parker Messick too — .333 across 9 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Wilyer Abreu (BOS) (87) vs LHP MacKenzie Gore: an elite bat at .065 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.133).
- Carter Jensen (KC) (87) vs RHP Cristian Javier: an elite bat at .072 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Justin Foscue (TEX) (84) vs LHP Jake Bennett: an elite bat at .063 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Garrett Mitchell (MIL) (83) vs RHP Jared Jones: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm keeping the ball in front of the same side (.042).
- Jose Altuve (HOU) (82) vs LHP Daniel Lynch IV: an elite bat at .063 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.079), due to bounce back.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (82) vs LHP Robbie Ray: an elite bat at .067 into an arm prone to extra-base damage from the same side (.048).
- Randy Arozarena (SEA) (79) vs LHP Yusei Kikuchi: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.059), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .115 against lefties this year.
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .058 against righties this year.
- Justin Foscue (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .076 against lefties this year.
- Garrett Mitchell (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .067 against righties this year.
- Jose Altuve (HOU) — righty bat vs LHP, .048 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Randal Grichuk (CWS), Carter Jensen (KC), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Adael Amador (COL), Riley Greene (DET), and Jackson Merrill (SD). Cold but due to bounce back: Jose Altuve (HOU), Rece Hinds (BAL), Yainer Diaz (HOU), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Kaelen Culpepper (MIN).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.