Last scored matchup
Charles isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on hits (53.8/100), singles (49.3/100), h+r+rbi (48.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's swinging a hot bat
Charles is 7-for-20 (.350) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .258 season mark. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.
He's a right-handed bat
Charles hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
Floor and ceiling
Charles has recorded at least one hit in 17 of 31 games he's batted in — 55% — with 5 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Charles is hitting .255 at home (13-for-51) and .263 on the road (10-for-38) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Charles a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 33 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Charles was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 53.8/100 while triples came in at 8.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Charles's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Charles specifically, his sample is small (89 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.