Last scored matchup
Connor isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 2 days ago, at home against St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, September 6, 2026, where he landed on singles (79.6/100), hits (77.9/100), total bases (67.6/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
Connor is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, in line with his .228 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Connor strikes out a lot — 90 strikeouts in 263 at-bats, roughly 34%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 6 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.
He's a right-handed bat
Connor hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
Floor and ceiling
Connor has recorded at least one hit in 49 of 80 games he's batted in — 61% — with 11 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.
Home and away
Connor is hitting .227 at home (29-for-128) and .230 on the road (31-for-135) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against St. Louis Cardinals
Connor is 3-for-8 (.375) against St. Louis Cardinals in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 8 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
His best game in the log
Connor's biggest night was Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at WSH — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 5 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
How our calls on Connor have graded
In the 9 games where we ranked Connor a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 8 times — 89%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Connor was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 79.6/100 while triples came in at 4.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Connor gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.
What we'd flag
Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.