MatchWiz

Drew Cavanaugh

Drew Cavanaugh — hitting .229 in our graded log with 1 home run. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
47
Hits · vs LAD · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
50%
1+ hit in 3/6 top-20 calls
Games graded
58
this season, box-score final
Drew Cavanaugh
CBats LThrows RSan Francisco Giants
Hits47/100proj 1#104H+R+RBI31.4/100proj 1.5#148Walks29.4/100proj 0.3#114Singles28.1/100proj 0.5#169Home Runs24.7/100proj 0.1#96RBIs23.7/100proj 0.4#181Fantasy Points22.5/100proj 5.8#178Doubles20.5/100proj 0.2#171Runs20.3/100proj 0.4#187Total Bases17.4/100proj 1.4#186Stolen Bases13.4/100proj 0.1#100Triples8.9/100proj 0#90

Last scored matchup

Drew isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on hits (47/100), h+r+rbi (31.4/100), walks (29.4/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Drew is 3-for-20 (.150) across his last 10 games, down from .229 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 20 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Drew strikes out a lot — 49 strikeouts in 140 at-bats, roughly 35%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 1 homer. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a left-handed bat

Drew hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Drew has recorded at least one hit in 20 of 54 games he's batted in — 37% — with 10 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Drew is hitting .221 at home (17-for-77) and .238 on the road (15-for-63) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

How our calls on Drew have graded

In the 6 games where we ranked Drew a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 3 times — 50%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Drew was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 47/100 while triples came in at 8.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Drew and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs LAD40000
Saturday, September 26@ —22001
Wednesday, September 23vs MIN10000
Tuesday, September 22vs MIN10001
Monday, September 21vs MIN20000
Friday, September 18@ LAD20000
Tuesday, September 15@ STL40010
Monday, September 14@ —00000
Sunday, September 13vs SD10000
Saturday, September 12vs SD31111
Friday, September 11vs SD10000
Wednesday, September 9vs STL41010

Drew Cavanaugh — FAQ

Is Drew Cavanaugh playing today?

Drew Cavanaugh isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Drew Cavanaugh graded?

In the 6 games where our model ranked Drew a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times — 50%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Drew Cavanaugh been hitting lately?

Drew is 3-for-20 (.150) over his last 10 games, against .229 on the season across 140 at-bats in our log, with 1 home run. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Drew Cavanaugh appear on?

Drew was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, h+r+rbi, walks, singles, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Drew Cavanaugh's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).