Last scored matchup
Edgar isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 3 days ago, at home against Atlanta Braves on Thursday, August 20, 2026, where he landed on walks (53.2/100), singles (45/100), doubles (32.6/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's swinging a hot bat
Edgar is 10-for-33 (.303) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .195 season mark. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.
He bats from both sides
Edgar is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Edgar takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Edgar has recorded at least one hit in 22 of 54 games he's batted in — 41% — with 8 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Edgar is hitting .235 at home (19-for-81) and .159 on the road (14-for-88) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
His best game in the log
Edgar's biggest night was Thursday, August 13, 2026 against CIN — 3-for-5 with 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Edgar a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 58 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Edgar was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 53.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 0.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Edgar and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Edgar specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.