MatchWiz

Eduardo Valencia

Eduardo Valencia — hitting .346 in our graded log with 8 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
53.5
Hits · vs PIT · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
67%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
41
this season, box-score final
Eduardo Valencia
DHBats RThrows RDetroit Tigers
Hits53.5/100proj 1#45Singles48.3/100proj 0.6#54H+R+RBI41.7/100proj 1.7#68Runs38.1/100proj 0.5#75RBIs37.7/100proj 0.4#82Home Runs31.8/100proj 0.1#54Fantasy Points30.1/100proj 6.1#89Doubles29.7/100proj 0.2#81Walks27.2/100proj 0.3#74Total Bases23.1/100proj 1.4#109Stolen Bases15.2/100proj 0.1#60Triples5.1/100proj 0#107

Last scored matchup

Eduardo isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on hits (53.5/100), singles (48.3/100), h+r+rbi (41.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Eduardo is 13-for-32 (.406) over his last 10 games, in line with his .346 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Eduardo has 8 home runs and 22 extra-base hits in 127 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Eduardo hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Eduardo has recorded at least one hit in 26 of 40 games he's batted in — 65% — with 13 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Eduardo is hitting .366 at home (26-for-71) and .321 on the road (18-for-56) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Pittsburgh Pirates

Eduardo is 4-for-11 (.364) against Pittsburgh Pirates in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 11 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Eduardo's biggest night was Monday, September 21, 2026 against WSH — 3-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Eduardo a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 3 times so far. He's appeared in 41 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Eduardo was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 53.5/100 while triples came in at 5.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Eduardo gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Eduardo specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs PIT41111
Saturday, September 26vs PIT51112
Friday, September 25vs PIT22030
Wednesday, September 23vs WSH10000
Tuesday, September 22vs WSH40000
Monday, September 21vs WSH43010
Sunday, September 20@ CWS43000
Saturday, September 19@ CWS10000
Friday, September 18@ CWS42030
Tuesday, September 15@ TOR31010
Saturday, September 12vs COL43010
Tuesday, September 8vs MIN41000

Eduardo Valencia — FAQ

Is Eduardo Valencia playing today?

Eduardo Valencia isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Eduardo Valencia been hitting lately?

Eduardo is 13-for-32 (.406) over his last 10 games, against .346 on the season across 127 at-bats in our log, with 8 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Eduardo Valencia appear on?

Eduardo was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, singles, h+r+rbi, runs, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Eduardo Valencia's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).