MatchWiz

Hao-Yu Lee

Hao-Yu Lee — hitting .266 in our graded log with 10 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
65.9
Hits · vs PIT · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
57%
1+ hit in 4/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
106
this season, box-score final
Hao-Yu Lee
2BBats RThrows RDetroit Tigers
Hits65.9/100proj 1.1#20Singles64.4/100proj 0.7#27H+R+RBI56.8/100proj 1.8#29RBIs55.1/100proj 0.5#40Runs52.2/100proj 0.5#45Walks46.9/100proj 0.4#29Fantasy Points40.6/100proj 6.5#63Doubles39.8/100proj 0.2#39Home Runs33.1/100proj 0.1#49Total Bases31.8/100proj 1.5#78Triples15.6/100proj 0#32Stolen Bases7.7/100proj 0#99

Last scored matchup

Hao-Yu isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on hits (65.9/100), singles (64.4/100), h+r+rbi (56.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Hao-Yu is 13-for-43 (.302) over his last 10 games, in line with his .266 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Hao-Yu has 10 home runs and 29 extra-base hits in 316 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Hao-Yu hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Hao-Yu has recorded at least one hit in 58 of 101 games he's batted in — 57% — with 21 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Hao-Yu is hitting .243 at home (37-for-152) and .287 on the road (47-for-164) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Pittsburgh Pirates

Hao-Yu is 2-for-12 (.167) against Pittsburgh Pirates in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 12 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Hao-Yu's biggest night was Friday, September 18, 2026 at CWS — 4-for-5 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Hao-Yu have graded

In the 7 games where we ranked Hao-Yu a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 57%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Hao-Yu was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 65.9/100 while stolen bases came in at 7.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Hao-Yu and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs PIT40000
Saturday, September 26vs PIT32010
Friday, September 25vs PIT50000
Wednesday, September 23vs WSH51000
Tuesday, September 22vs WSH31000
Monday, September 21vs WSH53011
Sunday, September 20@ CWS40000
Saturday, September 19@ CWS52000
Friday, September 18@ CWS54123
Wednesday, September 16@ TOR40000
Tuesday, September 15@ TOR52111
Monday, September 14@ TOR40000

Hao-Yu Lee — FAQ

Is Hao-Yu Lee playing today?

Hao-Yu Lee isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Hao-Yu Lee graded?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Hao-Yu a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 57%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Hao-Yu Lee been hitting lately?

Hao-Yu is 13-for-43 (.302) over his last 10 games, against .266 on the season across 316 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Hao-Yu Lee appear on?

Hao-Yu was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, singles, h+r+rbi, rbis, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Hao-Yu Lee's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).