MatchWiz

Heston Kjerstad

Heston's matchups, recent form, and the graded record of every call we've made on him.

Last scored board
44.5
Hits · @ NYY · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
—
record builds as games settle
Games graded
11
this season, box-score final
Heston Kjerstad
LFBats LThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Hits44.5/100proj 1#156Singles33.6/100proj 0.6#204H+R+RBI31.3/100proj 1.5#189Walks25.9/100proj 0.3#155RBIs25.5/100proj 0.4#213Doubles23.9/100proj 0.2#193Total Bases23.3/100proj 1.4#198Fantasy Points22.8/100proj 5.8#215Home Runs22/100proj 0.1#154Runs21.3/100proj 0.4#223Triples14.5/100proj 0#54Stolen Bases8.8/100proj 0#185

Not on the current slate

Heston hasn't been scored in 25 days — his last matchup was against New York Yankees on Sunday, September 27, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Small sample, handle with care

Heston has just 19 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .211 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.

He's a left-handed bat

Heston hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

His best game in the log

Heston's biggest night was Monday, September 14, 2026 at NYM — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Heston a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 11 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Heston was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 44.5/100 while stolen bases came in at 8.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Heston's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Heston specifically, his sample is small (19 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 18@ —10000
Wednesday, September 16@ —10000
Tuesday, September 15@ NYM10000
Monday, September 14@ NYM42001
Sunday, September 13@ TOR10000
Saturday, September 12@ TOR20000
Friday, September 11@ TOR21011
Wednesday, September 9@ —10000
Saturday, September 5vs BOS41000
Wednesday, September 2@ —10000
Tuesday, September 1@ —10000

Heston Kjerstad — FAQ

Is Heston Kjerstad playing today?

Heston Kjerstad isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

Which MatchWiz boards does Heston Kjerstad appear on?

Heston was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, singles, h+r+rbi, walks, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Heston Kjerstad's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).