MatchWiz

Jared Serna

Jared's matchups, recent form, and the graded record of every call we've made on him.

Last scored board
47.8
Hits · vs ATL · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
—
record builds as games settle
Games graded
15
this season, box-score final
Jared Serna
2BBats RThrows RMiami Marlins
Hits47.8/100proj 1#57Singles37.7/100proj 0.6#85H+R+RBI34.2/100proj 1.6#86RBIs33.1/100proj 0.4#95Runs25.6/100proj 0.4#113Home Runs24.8/100proj 0.1#82Total Bases23.7/100proj 1.4#106Fantasy Points21.1/100proj 5.8#115Triples17.4/100proj 0#22Doubles16.9/100proj 0.1#125Walks12.3/100proj 0.3#128Stolen Bases7.4/100proj 0#101

Not on the current slate

Jared hasn't been scored in 20 days — his last matchup was against Atlanta Braves on Sunday, September 27, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Small sample, handle with care

Jared has just 26 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .231 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.

He's a right-handed bat

Jared hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Against Atlanta Braves

Jared is 2-for-8 (.250) against Atlanta Braves in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 8 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Jared's biggest night was Sunday, September 27, 2026 against ATL — 2-for-2 with 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Jared a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 15 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Jared was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 47.8/100 while stolen bases came in at 7.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jared's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Jared specifically, his sample is small (26 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs ATL22002
Saturday, September 26vs ATL30000
Friday, September 25vs ATL30000
Thursday, September 24@ CHC30000
Wednesday, September 23@ CHC11000
Tuesday, September 22@ CHC20000
Sunday, September 20@ —00000
Tuesday, September 15@ —10000
Saturday, September 12vs LAD10000
Friday, September 11vs LAD30000
Tuesday, September 8vs NYM32011
Sunday, September 6@ —00000

Jared Serna — FAQ

Is Jared Serna playing today?

Jared Serna isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jared Serna appear on?

Jared was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, singles, h+r+rbi, rbis, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jared Serna's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).