MatchWiz

Josh Lowe

Josh Lowe — hitting .210 in our graded log with 11 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
37.1
Total Bases · @ SEA · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
80%
1+ hit in 4/5 top-20 calls
Games graded
98
this season, box-score final
Josh Lowe
LFBats LThrows RLos Angeles Angels
Total Bases37.1/100proj 1.6#64Fantasy Points35.3/100proj 6.3#76Home Runs33.3/100proj 0.1#47Singles31.4/100proj 0.6#96Stolen Bases30.2/100proj 0.1#33RBIs29.1/100proj 0.4#109Doubles25.6/100proj 0.2#97Hits22.5/100proj 0.8#120Runs21.9/100proj 0.4#128H+R+RBI20.4/100proj 1.5#122Walks12/100proj 0.3#129Triples8/100proj 0#73

Last scored matchup

Josh isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at Seattle Mariners on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on total bases (37.1/100), fantasy points (35.3/100), home runs (33.3/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Josh is 6-for-30 (.200) over his last 10 games, in line with his .210 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Josh has 11 home runs and 21 extra-base hits in 267 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Josh hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Josh has recorded at least one hit in 43 of 91 games he's batted in — 47% — with 13 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Josh is hitting .219 at home (30-for-137) and .200 on the road (26-for-130) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Seattle Mariners

Josh is 6-for-18 (.333) against Seattle Mariners in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 18 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Josh's biggest night was Tuesday, September 15, 2026 against SEA — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Josh have graded

In the 5 games where we ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 80%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Josh was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 37.1/100 while triples came in at 8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Josh's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ SEA41000
Friday, September 25@ SEA40000
Thursday, September 24@ SEA32030
Wednesday, September 23@ ATH20000
Tuesday, September 22@ ATH10000
Sunday, September 20vs MIN30000
Saturday, September 19vs MIN51010
Friday, September 18vs MIN10000
Thursday, September 17vs MIN41000
Wednesday, September 16vs SEA31000
Tuesday, September 15vs SEA32111
Monday, September 14vs SEA10000

Josh Lowe — FAQ

Is Josh Lowe playing today?

Josh Lowe isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Josh Lowe graded?

In the 5 games where our model ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 80%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Josh Lowe been hitting lately?

Josh is 6-for-30 (.200) over his last 10 games, against .210 on the season across 267 at-bats in our log, with 11 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Josh Lowe appear on?

Josh was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — total bases, fantasy points, home runs, singles, stolen bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Josh Lowe's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).