Last scored matchup
Joshua isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 10 days ago, at home against Houston Astros on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on hits (55.4/100), h+r+rbi (42/100), singles (36/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's in a cold stretch
Joshua is 10-for-33 (.303) across his last 10 games, down from .371 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 33 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
He's a right-handed bat
Joshua hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
Floor and ceiling
Joshua has recorded at least one hit in 15 of 20 games he's batted in — 75% — with 8 multi-hit games among them. A floor that steady is worth more than it looks on the hits board, where the question is simply whether he gets one.
Against Houston Astros
Joshua is 1-for-8 (.125) against Houston Astros in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 8 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
His best game in the log
Joshua's biggest night was Monday, July 20, 2026 at AZ — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
How our calls on Joshua have graded
In the 8 games where we ranked Joshua a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 6 times — 75%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Joshua was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 55.4/100 while triples came in at 4.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Joshua gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.
What we'd flag
Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Joshua specifically, his sample is small (70 at-bats logged).