Best MLB Runs Matchups — Monday, July 27, 2026
Top runs spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Max Scherzer. The lefty is scoring at .215 R/PA against righties this year — and .207 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a run in about 16% of his trips. And Max Scherzer has been thin against righties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Max Scherzer. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (80) vs RHP Walbert Ureña: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (79) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .134 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (77) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: a strong bat at .136 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.353).
- Cole Young (SEA) (76) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: a solid bat at .122 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.261).
- Masataka Yoshida (BOS) (74) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a solid bat at .120 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200), due to bounce back.
- Andrés Chaparro (WSH) (74) vs RHP Max Scherzer: a solid bat at .122 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (73) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: a strong bat at .141 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.048), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .215 against righties this year.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .141 against righties this year.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .152 against righties this year.
- Cole Young (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .132 against righties this year.
- Masataka Yoshida (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .112 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
216 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.