MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · St. Louis Cardinals

Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 47/100.

Today's top board
47
Runs · @ CHC
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
23
this season, box-score final
Lars Nootbaar
LFBats LThrows RSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs47/100proj 0.5Total Bases46.7/100proj 1.6Hits46.2/100proj 1H+R+RBI42.2/100proj 1.6Fantasy Points37.6/100proj 6.4Walks29.8/100proj 0.4Home Runs24.5/100proj 0.1RBIs21.7/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases21.6/100proj 0.1

Today's matchup

Lars is at Chicago Cubs on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (47/100), total bases (46.7/100), hits (46.2/100), h+r+rbi (42.2/100). We project Lars for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Lars is 6-for-18 (.333). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Lars's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2@ ATL52001
Wednesday, July 1@ ATL30000
Tuesday, June 30@ ATL42010
Sunday, June 28vs MIA30000
Saturday, June 27vs MIA32000
Friday, June 26vs MIA31000
Wednesday, June 24vs AZ41010
Tuesday, June 23vs AZ32010
Monday, June 22vs AZ20010
Sunday, June 21@ KC52011
Friday, June 19@ KC41010
Wednesday, June 17vs SD41000

Lars Nootbaar — FAQ

Who is Lars Nootbaar facing today?

Lars Nootbaar is facing Chicago Cubs on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 47/100 on our runs board.

What's Lars Nootbaar's projection today?

We project Lars for 0.5 on the runs board (away vs CHC). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).