MatchWiz

Marcus Semien

Marcus Semien — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: singles at 43.1/100.

Today's top board
43.1
Singles · @ CWS
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
109
this season, box-score final
Marcus Semien
2BBats RThrows RNew York Mets
Singles43.1/100proj 0.6#105Total Bases41.2/100proj 1.5#122Walks40.3/100proj 0.4#107Runs35.3/100proj 0.5#126Fantasy Points33.9/100proj 6.4#105Hits30.3/100proj 0.9#159H+R+RBI26/100proj 1.5#163Triples19.4/100proj 0#72Stolen Bases18.7/100proj 0.1#27Home Runs15.2/100proj 0.1#140RBIs15/100proj 0.4#185Doubles10.7/100proj 0.1#185

Today's matchup

Today it's Chicago White Sox for Marcus, away. He shows up on 12 boards — singles (43.1/100, #105), total bases (41.2/100, #122), walks (40.3/100, #107), runs (35.3/100, #126). We've got him at 0.6 on the singles board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Marcus is 8-for-35 (.229) over his last 10 games, in line with his .211 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Marcus has 14 home runs and 25 extra-base hits in 388 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Marcus hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Marcus has recorded at least one hit in 57 of 109 games he's batted in — 52% — with 20 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Marcus is hitting .188 at home (35-for-186) and .233 on the road (47-for-202) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Marcus's biggest night was Saturday, August 22, 2026 at CWS — 2-for-5 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Marcus a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 109 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Marcus was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 43.1/100 while doubles came in at 10.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Marcus's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Marcus specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22@ CWS52001
Friday, August 21@ CWS42001
Wednesday, August 19vs SD31000
Tuesday, August 18vs SD30000
Monday, August 17vs SD31000
Saturday, August 15vs WSH30000
Friday, August 14vs WSH41000
Wednesday, August 12@ ATL20000
Tuesday, August 11@ ATL30000
Monday, August 10@ ATL51000
Sunday, August 9@ PIT41001
Saturday, August 8@ PIT30000

Marcus Semien — FAQ

Who is Marcus Semien facing today?

Marcus Semien is facing Chicago White Sox on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 43.1/100 on our singles board, ranked #105.

What is Marcus Semien's projection today?

We project Marcus for 0.6 on the singles board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Marcus Semien been hitting lately?

Marcus is 8-for-35 (.229) over his last 10 games, against .211 on the season across 388 at-bats in our log, with 14 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Marcus Semien appear on?

Marcus was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, total bases, walks, runs, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Marcus Semien's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).