MatchWiz

Nick Madrigal

Nick's matchups, recent form, and the graded record of every call we've made on him.

Last scored board
42.7
Runs · vs ATH · 2026-09-17
Our calls on him · hits
—
record builds as games settle
Games graded
16
this season, box-score final
Nick Madrigal
3BBats RThrows RTampa Bay Rays
Runs42.7/100proj 0.5Doubles41.4/100proj 0.2Total Bases37.4/100proj 1.5Walks34.3/100proj 0.4Fantasy Points31.6/100proj 6.4RBIs29.4/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI29.1/100proj 1.6Stolen Bases27.9/100proj 0.1Hits25.4/100proj 0.9Singles24.8/100proj 0.6Home Runs16.2/100proj 0.1Triples4/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Nick hasn't been scored in 21 days — his last matchup was against Athletics on Thursday, September 17, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Small sample, handle with care

Nick has just 49 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .306 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.

He's a right-handed bat

Nick hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

His best game in the log

Nick's biggest night was Sunday, September 13, 2026 against HOU — 2-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Nick a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 16 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Nick was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: runs graded 42.7/100 while triples came in at 4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Nick and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Nick specifically, his sample is small (49 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, September 16vs ATH31000
Sunday, September 13vs HOU42010
Saturday, September 12@ —00001
Thursday, September 10@ ATL30000
Thursday, June 18@ ATH30000
Tuesday, June 16@ AZ50000
Sunday, June 14vs TB30000
Friday, June 12vs TB32011
Wednesday, June 10vs HOU41010
Monday, June 8vs HOU31010
Sunday, June 7@ LAD21030
Saturday, June 6@ LAD30000

Nick Madrigal — FAQ

Is Nick Madrigal playing today?

Nick Madrigal isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, September 17, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Nick Madrigal been hitting lately?

Nick is 7-for-31 (.226) over his last 10 games, against .306 on the season across 49 at-bats in our log. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Nick Madrigal appear on?

Nick was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — runs, doubles, total bases, walks, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Nick Madrigal's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).