MatchWiz

Nick Sogard

Nick Sogard — hitting .258 in our graded log with 6 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
63.7
Hits · @ NYY · 2026-09-30
Our calls on him · hits
55%
1+ hit in 6/11 top-20 calls
Games graded
66
this season, box-score final
Nick Sogard
2BBats SThrows RBoston Red Sox
Hits63.7/100proj 1#11Doubles60/100proj 0.2#10Singles51/100proj 0.6#12H+R+RBI36.8/100proj 1.5#24RBIs21.7/100proj 0.3#35Home Runs21.3/100proj 0.1#27Total Bases18.3/100proj 1.3#31Fantasy Points17.6/100proj 5.5#33Runs16.9/100proj 0.4#29Triples9/100proj 0#22Walks6.5/100proj 0.3#35Stolen Bases6.4/100proj 0#29

Last scored matchup

Nick isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 7 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, where he landed on hits (63.7/100), doubles (60/100), singles (51/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Nick is 9-for-37 (.243) over his last 10 games, in line with his .258 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He bats from both sides

Nick is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Nick takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Nick has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 65 games he's batted in — 68% — with 17 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Nick is hitting .330 at home (38-for-115) and .192 on the road (24-for-125) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

How our calls on Nick have graded

In the 11 games where we ranked Nick a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 6 times — 55%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Nick was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 63.7/100 while stolen bases came in at 6.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Nick and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, September 30@ NYY31111
Tuesday, September 29@ NYY30000
Sunday, September 27vs CHC31010
Friday, September 25vs CHC30000
Friday, September 25vs CHC41000
Thursday, September 24vs CLE41000
Wednesday, September 23vs CLE42000
Tuesday, September 22vs CLE52000
Sunday, September 20@ TB40000
Saturday, September 19@ TB41000
Friday, September 18@ TB50000
Thursday, September 17@ TEX40000

Nick Sogard — FAQ

Is Nick Sogard playing today?

Nick Sogard isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Nick Sogard graded?

In the 11 games where our model ranked Nick a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 6 times — 55%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Nick Sogard been hitting lately?

Nick is 9-for-37 (.243) over his last 10 games, against .258 on the season across 240 at-bats in our log, with 6 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Nick Sogard appear on?

Nick was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, doubles, singles, h+r+rbi, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Nick Sogard's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).