MatchWiz

Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach — our top-20 calls on him have hit 62% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
54.1
Singles · vs NYY · 2026-09-14
Our calls on him · hits
62%
1+ hit in 21/34 top-20 calls
Games graded
94
this season, box-score final
Trevor Larnach
LFBats LThrows RMinnesota Twins
Singles54.1/100proj 0.6Walks52.8/100proj 0.4Doubles49.9/100proj 0.2Total Bases45.6/100proj 1.6Runs42.4/100proj 0.5Hits41.8/100proj 1H+R+RBI31/100proj 1.6Fantasy Points24.1/100proj 6.3Home Runs23.8/100proj 0.1RBIs22.7/100proj 0.4Triples15/100proj 0Stolen Bases4.2/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Trevor hasn't been scored in 24 days — his last matchup was against New York Yankees on Monday, September 14, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's swinging a hot bat

Trevor is 8-for-25 (.320) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .250 season mark. He's hit safely in 3 straight. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.

What kind of hitter he is

Trevor has 12 home runs and 29 extra-base hits in 312 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Trevor hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Trevor has recorded at least one hit in 51 of 93 games he's batted in — 55% — with 22 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Trevor is hitting .243 at home (34-for-140) and .256 on the road (44-for-172) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Trevor's biggest night was Sunday, September 13, 2026 against CLE — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Trevor have graded

We've ranked Trevor a top-20 hitter matchup 34 times this season. He got a hit in 21 of them — 62%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Trevor was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 54.1/100 while stolen bases came in at 4.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Trevor's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 13vs CLE32111
Friday, September 11vs CLE11000
Wednesday, September 9@ DET31000
Tuesday, September 8@ DET30000
Monday, September 7@ DET32121
Sunday, September 6@ CWS30000
Saturday, September 5@ CWS20000
Friday, September 4@ CWS20000
Wednesday, September 2vs DET31001
Tuesday, September 1vs DET21020
Monday, August 31vs DET41000
Sunday, August 30vs CWS41002

Trevor Larnach — FAQ

Is Trevor Larnach playing today?

Trevor Larnach isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Monday, September 14, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Trevor Larnach graded?

In the 34 games where our model ranked Trevor a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 21 times — 62%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Trevor Larnach been hitting lately?

Trevor is 8-for-25 (.320) over his last 10 games, against .250 on the season across 312 at-bats in our log, with 12 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Trevor Larnach appear on?

Trevor was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, walks, doubles, total bases, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Trevor Larnach's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).