Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026
Top rbis spot: Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson (STL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Merrill Kelly. The lefty is driving in runs at .183 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .262 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 17% of his trips. And Merrill Kelly has been getting lit up by righties lately — .167 RBIs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .111 in 9 career PA against Merrill Kelly, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs RHP Kyle Bradish: a strong bat at .135 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.063).
- Willson Contreras (BOS) (100) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .122 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Manny Machado (SD) (92) vs RHP Grant Holmes: an excellent bat at .147 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.273).
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) (90) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: an excellent bat at .153 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.292).
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) (85) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .136 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167).
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (85) vs LHP Foster Griffin: an elite bat at .165 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (83) vs RHP Brady Singer: an elite bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167).
Platoon edges to target
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .183 against righties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .127 against righties this year.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .128 against righties this year.
- Donovan Walton (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .156 against righties this year.
- Andrew Benintendi (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .183 against righties this year.
Best parks to drive in runs today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Willson Contreras (BOS) at 100.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Alec Burleson finished with 1 RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.