Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks119
Pacers117FinalGainbridge FieldhouseScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 31 | 31 | 34 | 23 | 119 |
 Pacers | 32 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 117 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 25 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Luguentz DortG | 24 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 23 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 20 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CJ McCollumG | 19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Corey KispertF | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa NewellF | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| RayJ DennisG | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen WilsonForward | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jock LandaleC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kobe JohnsonG | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | — | 119 | 49 | 24 | 39-90 | 13-45 | 28-30 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 26 |
Did not play Cameron Corhen coach's decision
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal SiakamF | 22 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew NembhardG | 22 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ivica ZubacC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jarace WalkerF | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Aaron NesmithG | 20 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Ben SheppardGuard | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Obi ToppinF | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Braden SmithG | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen SlawsonF | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kobe BrownG | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Larry Nance Jr.F | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quenton JacksonG | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jay HuffC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| James JohnsonF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rienk MastF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Keba KeitaC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 117 | 35 | 31 | 39-76 | 15-34 | 24-32 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 28 |
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Pacers | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-90 | FG | 39-76 |
| 43.3% | FG% | 51.3% |
| 13-45 | 3PT | 15-34 |
| 28.9% | 3PT% | 44.1% |
| 28-30 | FT | 24-32 |
| 49 | Rebounds | 35 |
| 10 | Off reb | 0 |
| 24 | Assists | 31 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 26 | Fouls | 28 |
107.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Hawks on 1 day, Pacers on 2 days.
What the model says
Saturday, October 10ProjectedHawks 117.4 · Pacers 114.9
Our lineHawks −2.5
Total232.3
Win probPacers 40% · Hawks 60%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.