Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks135
Mavericks111FinalAmerican Airlines CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 39 | 34 | 29 | 33 | 135 |
 Mavericks | 34 | 20 | 24 | 33 | 111 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 27 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jalen JohnsonF | 25 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luguentz DortG | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 22 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| CJ McCollumG | 22 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jock LandaleC | 21 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 21 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 20 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Asa NewellF | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Corey KispertF | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RayJ DennisG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Keshon GilbertGuard | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 135 | 55 | 36 | 40-89 | 21-51 | 34-45 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
Did not play Cameron Corhen coach's decision · Dorian Finney-Smith coach's decision · Isaac McKneely coach's decision · Jalen Wilson coach's decision · Kobe Johnson coach's decision
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggF | 30 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 27 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 25 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Naji MarshallF | 20 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Caleb MartinF | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 14 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Marcus SasserG | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tobi LawalF | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Dwight PowellF | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Moussa CisseC | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Seth LundyG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| John PoulakidasG | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy AcyF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 111 | 42 | 30 | 40-93 | 13-33 | 18-26 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 |
Did not play Guillermo Diaz Graham coach's decision · Jorge Diaz-Graham coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-89 | FG | 40-93 |
| 44.9% | FG% | 43.0% |
| 21-51 | 3PT | 13-33 |
| 41.2% | 3PT% | 39.4% |
| 34-45 | FT | 18-26 |
| 55 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 17 | Off reb | 12 |
| 36 | Assists | 30 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 26 |
106.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Hawks on 3 days, Mavericks on 1 day.
What the model says
Friday, October 16ProjectedHawks 122.6 · Mavericks 118.2
Our lineHawks −4.5
Total240.8
Win probMavericks 32% · Hawks 68%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.