Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Trail Blazers110
Kings98FinalGolden 1 CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trail Blazers | 33 | 33 | 27 | 17 | 110 |
 Kings | 22 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 98 |
Box score
FinalPortland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni AvdijaF | 25 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 9-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Damian LillardG | 23 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ja MorantGuard | 23 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Toumani CamaraF | 23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jrue HolidayG | 21 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Donovan ClinganC | 20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Scoot HendersonG | 18 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Robert Williams IIIC | 16 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Sidy CissokoG | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Yang HansenC | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Vit KrejciG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jayson KentGuard | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah PotterC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Branden CarlsonC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy SochanF | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 110 | 56 | 30 | 39-87 | 11-44 | 21-29 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 |
Did not play Jaylen Martin coach's decision · John Tonje coach's decision
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leaky BlackF | 32 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Nique CliffordG | 30 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Jonathan MogboF | 27 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Alex KarabanF | 26 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 25 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Emanuel SharpG | 23 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Daeqwon PlowdenG | 23 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tristen NewtonG | 19 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Keegan MurrayForward | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Viktor LakhinF | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Elfrid PaytonG | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 98 | 55 | 23 | 30-90 | 13-38 | 25-40 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
Did not play Aaron Nkrumah coach's decision · Adam Flagler coach's decision · Damari Monsanto coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Trail Blazers | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-87 | FG | 30-90 |
| 44.8% | FG% | 33.3% |
| 11-44 | 3PT | 13-38 |
| 25.0% | 3PT% | 34.2% |
| 21-29 | FT | 25-40 |
| 56 | Rebounds | 55 |
| 9 | Off reb | 17 |
| 30 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 9 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 27 | Fouls | 28 |
104.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Trail Blazers on no rest, Kings on 2 days.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 13ProjectedTrail Blazers 114.8 · Kings 113.2
Our lineTrail Blazers −1.7
Total228.0
Win probKings 43% · Trail Blazers 57%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.