Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Thunder116
Spurs104FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder | 34 | 31 | 28 | 23 | 116 |
 Spurs | 28 | 16 | 36 | 24 | 104 |
Box score
FinalOklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG | 36 | 32 | 6 | 4 | 13-27 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Chet HolmgrenCenter | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen WilliamsGuard | 30 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Alex CarusoG | 25 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 23 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jared McCainG | 22 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Cason WallaceGuard | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaylin WilliamsF | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah HartensteinC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Aday MaraC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bennett StirtzG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooks BarnhizerF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 47 | 24 | 43-95 | 14-31 | 16-20 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor WembanyamaF | 34 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 10-12 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Dylan HarperG | 32 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 32 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Devin VassellG | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Stephon CastleG | 28 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 9-21 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Luke KornetC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison BarnesF | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Carter BryantF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| David Jones GarciaF | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Kobi GillespieGuard | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maliq BrownForward | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr.C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 104 | 45 | 21 | 36-93 | 10-37 | 22-25 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 24 |
Did not play Jordan McLaughlin coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Thunder | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-95 | FG | 36-93 |
| 45.3% | FG% | 38.7% |
| 14-31 | 3PT | 10-37 |
| 45.2% | 3PT% | 27.0% |
| 16-20 | FT | 22-25 |
| 47 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 10 | Off reb | 10 |
| 24 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 10 | Blocks | 11 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 24 |
107.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Thunder on 4 days, Spurs on 3 days.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 20ProjectedThunder 115.1 · Spurs 115.1
Our lineSpurs −0.1
Total230.2
Win probSpurs 50% · Thunder 50%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.