Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Rockets111
Mavericks116FinalAmerican Airlines CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets | 20 | 31 | 33 | 27 | 111 |
 Mavericks | 27 | 17 | 32 | 40 | 116 |
Box score
FinalHouston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen ThompsonG | 39 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Kevin DurantF | 37 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 9-20 | 1-6 | 9-13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 35 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 33 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Clint CapelaC | 30 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Tari EasonF | 26 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Marcus SmartG | 17 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 111 | 48 | 26 | 40-96 | 7-29 | 24-33 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 23 |
Did not play Alperen Sengun low back soreness · Bruce Thornton coach's decision · Isaiah Crawford coach's decision · Jae'Sean Tate coach's decision · Reed Sheppard low back soreness · Sean Pedulla coach's decision
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggF | 39 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 13-19 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 35 | 35 | 4 | 9 | 12-19 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 34 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 29 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 28 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Caleb MartinF | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Max ChristieG | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Walter Clayton Jr.G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Marcus SasserG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 116 | 41 | 24 | 42-81 | 12-33 | 20-27 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 24 |
Did not play Jett Howard coach's decision · Moussa Cisse coach's decision · Naji Marshall coach's decision · Tobi Lawal coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Rockets | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-96 | FG | 42-81 |
| 41.7% | FG% | 51.9% |
| 7-29 | 3PT | 12-33 |
| 24.1% | 3PT% | 36.4% |
| 24-33 | FT | 20-27 |
| 48 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 20 | Off reb | 12 |
| 26 | Assists | 24 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
101.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 30ProjectedRockets 119.4 · Mavericks 111.1
Our lineRockets −8.3
Total230.5
Win probMavericks 20% · Rockets 80%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.