Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Mavericks110
Rockets128FinalToyota Center (Houston)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mavericks | 26 | 12 | 38 | 34 | 110 |
 Rockets | 32 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 128 |
Box score
FinalDallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggF | 33 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 31 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Naji MarshallF | 29 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Max ChristieG | 29 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 27 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Marcus SasserG | 24 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyrie IrvingG | 24 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moussa CisseC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 110 | 33 | 20 | 41-79 | 11-37 | 17-26 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21 | 23 |
Did not play Dwight Powell coach's decision · Tobi Lawal coach's decision · Walter Clayton Jr. coach's decision
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin DurantF | 37 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 36 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 33 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Alperen SengunC | 30 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 30 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Marcus SmartG | 26 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Reed SheppardG | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Clint CapelaC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tari EasonF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 128 | 42 | 32 | 47-88 | 16-36 | 18-25 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 20 |
Did not play Sean Pedulla coach's decision · Steven Adams right calf
Team stats
Final| Mavericks | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-79 | FG | 47-88 |
| 51.9% | FG% | 53.4% |
| 11-37 | 3PT | 16-36 |
| 29.7% | 3PT% | 44.4% |
| 17-26 | FT | 18-25 |
| 33 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 8 | Off reb | 17 |
| 20 | Assists | 32 |
| 12 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
100.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Mavericks on 4 days, Rockets on 5 days.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 21ProjectedMavericks 109.3 · Rockets 121.7
Our lineRockets −12.4
Total231.0
Win probRockets 89% · Mavericks 12%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.