Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Trail Blazers128
Kings120FinalGolden 1 CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trail Blazers | 27 | 32 | 44 | 25 | 128 |
 Kings | 33 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 120 |
Box score
FinalPortland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni AvdijaF | 38 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 9-12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Damian LillardG | 33 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Toumani CamaraF | 27 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ja MorantGuard | 27 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Sidy CissokoG | 26 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jrue HolidayG | 26 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Donovan ClinganC | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Scoot HendersonG | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Robert Williams IIIC | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Vit KrejciG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 128 | 45 | 30 | 46-96 | 14-48 | 22-30 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
Did not play John Tonje coach's decision · Micah Potter coach's decision · Yang Hansen coach's decision
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas SabonisF | 39 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Zach LaVineG | 39 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Darius Acuff Jr.G | 37 | 33 | 2 | 4 | 10-26 | 2-11 | 11-12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 26 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Keegan MurrayForward | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| De'Andre HunterF | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Daeqwon PlowdenG | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Emanuel SharpG | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Malik MonkG | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nique CliffordG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 120 | 42 | 21 | 42-91 | 8-31 | 28-30 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 23 |
Did not play Alex Karaban coach's decision · Jonathan Mogbo coach's decision · Leaky Black coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Trail Blazers | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-96 | FG | 42-91 |
| 47.9% | FG% | 46.2% |
| 14-48 | 3PT | 8-31 |
| 29.2% | 3PT% | 25.8% |
| 22-30 | FT | 28-30 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 13 | Off reb | 10 |
| 30 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
107.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 23ProjectedTrail Blazers 121.1 · Kings 112.1
Our lineTrail Blazers −9.0
Total233.2
Win probKings 18% · Trail Blazers 82%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.