Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves111
Spurs121FinalFrost Bank CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 28 | 33 | 27 | 23 | 111 |
 Spurs | 34 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 121 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan KumingaF | 40 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden McDanielsF | 39 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 38 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Joan BeringerF | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| LaMelo BallG | 20 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trey LylesF | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Bones HylandG | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 111 | 38 | 23 | 40-93 | 9-33 | 22-26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 22 |
Did not play Cody Williams coach's decision · Isaiah Evans coach's decision · Zyon Pullin coach's decision
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan HarperG | 39 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| De'Aaron FoxG | 35 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Victor WembanyamaF | 34 | 43 | 7 | 4 | 17-34 | 3-8 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Devin VassellG | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Julian ChampagnieF | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Keldon JohnsonF | 24 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Stephon CastleG | 22 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Luke KornetC | 14 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carter BryantF | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 121 | 49 | 24 | 43-87 | 10-27 | 25-31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 20 |
Did not play David Jones Garcia coach's decision · Harrison Barnes coach's decision · Jordan McLaughlin coach's decision · Tarris Reed Jr. coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-93 | FG | 43-87 |
| 43.0% | FG% | 49.4% |
| 9-33 | 3PT | 10-27 |
| 27.3% | 3PT% | 37.0% |
| 22-26 | FT | 25-31 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 49 |
| 13 | Off reb | 16 |
| 23 | Assists | 24 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
103.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Timberwolves on no rest, Spurs on 2 days.
What the model says
Saturday, October 31ProjectedTimberwolves 113.7 · Spurs 120.2
Our lineSpurs −6.5
Total233.9
Win probSpurs 74% · Timberwolves 26%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.