Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks108
Pacers104FinalGainbridge FieldhouseScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 37 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 108 |
 Pacers | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 104 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 33 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| CJ McCollumG | 32 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 31 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 12-25 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Luguentz DortG | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 31 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 24 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Corey KispertF | 18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Asa NewellF | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| RayJ DennisG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 108 | 49 | 30 | 40-103 | 23-51 | 5-8 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 23 |
Did not play Dorian Finney-Smith coach's decision · Kingston Flemings suspended by league
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace WalkerF | 45 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Braden SmithG | 42 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Jalen SlawsonF | 41 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Jay HuffC | 40 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Kobe BrownG | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Quenton JacksonG | 35 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Team | — | 104 | 39 | 22 | 38-80 | 8-34 | 20-23 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 14 |
Did not play Aaron Nesmith left hamstring - injury management · Andrew Nembhard cervical strain · Ivica Zubac left ankle sprain · Kelly Oubre Jr. coach's decision · Obi Toppin coach's decision · Pascal Siakam rest
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Pacers | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-103 | FG | 38-80 |
| 38.8% | FG% | 47.5% |
| 23-51 | 3PT | 8-34 |
| 45.1% | 3PT% | 23.5% |
| 5-8 | FT | 20-23 |
| 49 | Rebounds | 39 |
| 17 | Off reb | 5 |
| 30 | Assists | 22 |
| 12 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 9 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
104.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Hawks on 1 day, Pacers on no rest.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedHawks 122.6 · Pacers 115.6
Our lineHawks −7.0
Total238.2
Win probPacers 24% · Hawks 76%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.