Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Trail Blazers118
Nuggets110FinalBall ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trail Blazers | 19 | 39 | 27 | 33 | 118 |
 Nuggets | 31 | 35 | 21 | 23 | 110 |
Box score
FinalPortland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni AvdijaF | 35 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 6-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Donovan ClinganC | 32 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jrue HolidayG | 31 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Toumani CamaraF | 31 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Damian LillardG | 30 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Scoot HendersonG | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sidy CissokoG | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Chris YoungbloodG | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Robert Williams IIIC | 15 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Vit KrejciG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | — | 118 | 53 | 30 | 43-92 | 15-41 | 17-21 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25 |
Did not play Branden Carlson coach's decision · Micah Potter coach's decision · Yang Hansen coach's decision
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal MurrayG | 39 | 35 | 5 | 6 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 11-11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Christian BraunG | 37 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nikola JokicC | 36 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 10-22 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Cameron JohnsonF | 34 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Aaron GordonF | 30 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| DeMar DeRozanG | 20 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyus JonesG | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alpha DialloF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 110 | 37 | 24 | 36-77 | 9-26 | 29-34 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 20 |
Did not play Bryce Hopkins coach's decision · Cam Whitmore coach's decision · DaRon Holmes II coach's decision · Ryan Nembhard coach's decision · Zeke Nnaji coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Trail Blazers | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-92 | FG | 36-77 |
| 46.7% | FG% | 46.8% |
| 15-41 | 3PT | 9-26 |
| 36.6% | 3PT% | 34.6% |
| 17-21 | FT | 29-34 |
| 53 | Rebounds | 37 |
| 21 | Off reb | 9 |
| 30 | Assists | 24 |
| 3 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
95.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Trail Blazers on 1 day, Nuggets on 2 days.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedTrail Blazers 113.7 · Nuggets 119.1
Our lineNuggets −5.5
Total232.8
Win probNuggets 71% · Trail Blazers 29%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.