Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bucks128
Pacers127Final/OTGainbridge FieldhouseScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bucks | 21 | 35 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 128 |
 Pacers | 29 | 42 | 22 | 24 | 10 | 127 |
Box score
FinalMilwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden BurriesG | 26 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kel'el WareC | 25 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Tyler HerroG | 24 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 10-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Ousmane DiengF | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles TurnerC | 23 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| AJ GreenG | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle KuzmaF | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kevin Porter Jr.G | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Bogoljub MarkovicF | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kam JonesGuard | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cormac RyanGuard | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | — | 128 | 57 | 29 | 52-114 | 17-52 | 7-16 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 21 |
Did not play Caris LeVert coach's decision · Gary Trent Jr. coach's decision · Jake Stephens coach's decision · John Butler Jr. coach's decision · Johni Broome coach's decision · Pete Nance coach's decision
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe BrownG | 28 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Pascal SiakamF | 21 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Tyrese HaliburtonGuard | 20 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew NembhardG | 20 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ivica ZubacC | 20 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Ben SheppardGuard | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Braden SmithG | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Jalen SlawsonF | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Obi ToppinF | 18 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rienk MastF | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quenton JacksonG | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jay HuffC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Keba KeitaC | 13 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Larry Nance Jr.F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 127 | 53 | 36 | 50-102 | 16-48 | 11-15 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 16 |
Did not play James Johnson coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Bucks | Pacers | |
|---|---|---|
| 52-114 | FG | 50-102 |
| 45.6% | FG% | 49.0% |
| 17-52 | 3PT | 16-48 |
| 32.7% | 3PT% | 33.3% |
| 7-16 | FT | 11-15 |
| 57 | Rebounds | 53 |
| 19 | Off reb | 12 |
| 29 | Assists | 36 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
118.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Bucks on 1 day, Pacers on 2 days.
What the model says
Friday, October 16ProjectedBucks 114.8 · Pacers 115.6
Our linePacers −0.8
Total230.3
Win probPacers 53% · Bucks 47%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.