Stetson Hatters vs Louisville Cardinals
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Stetson35
Louisville87FinalKFC Yum! CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stetson | 8 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 35 |
 Louisville | 17 | 23 | 28 | 19 | 87 |
Box score
FinalStetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie LocatelliG | 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Candela Garcia-Escribano PozoF | 25 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Addison GodbyG | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jorah EppleyG | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Desireck NievesG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| Favour Nmecha AnyaeleF | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Cici DriessenG | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Zoie LoftonG | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Raven LeXanderF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sofia MoschenF | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Heidi RathmannG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kieren SmithF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 35 | 32 | 3 | 13-55 | 2-18 | 7-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 24 |
Did not play Eva Bradshaw dnp
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajianna RobertsG | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Carys BakerF | 23 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ariyana CradleG | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Imari BerryG | 20 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Zamareya JonesG | 20 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Deniya PrawlG | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Ayse Melek DemirerF | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Amiya JoynerF | 16 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Reagan BenderG | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace MbuguaF | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Rebekah GravesG | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 87 | 51 | 14 | 31-66 | 8-27 | 17-26 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 14 |
Did not play Elif Istanbulluoglu dnp · Mackenly Randolph dnp · Myah Epps dnp
Team stats
Final| Stetson | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-55 | FG | 31-66 |
| 23.6% | FG% | 47.0% |
| 2-18 | 3PT | 8-27 |
| 11.1% | 3PT% | 29.6% |
| 7-8 | FT | 17-26 |
| 32 | Rebounds | 51 |
| 10 | Off reb | 18 |
| 3 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 21 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 30 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 24 | Fouls | 14 |
77.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedStetson 49.8 · Louisville 84.5
Our lineLouisville −34.6
Total134.3
Win probLouisville 99% · Stetson 1%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.