Oklahoma Sooners vs North Carolina Tar Heels
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Oklahoma91
North Carolina79FinalAdidas ArenaNeutral floorScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oklahoma | 18 | 21 | 31 | 21 | 91 |
 North Carolina | 19 | 19 | 14 | 27 | 79 |
Box score
FinalOklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahara WilliamsF | 31 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| LeeLee BellF | 29 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 9-21 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Aaliyah ChavezG | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Jordan SpeiserG | 25 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Sa'Myah SmithF | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Caya SmithF | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Keziah LoftonG | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isimenme Ozzy-MomoduC | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Brooklyn StewartF | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Emma TolanF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sina HollerlG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 91 | 53 | 23 | 33-75 | 10-28 | 15-20 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 17 |
Did not play Daffa Cissoko dnp · Keeley Parks dnp · Vienna Murray dnp
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate HarpringG | 34 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 9-26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| Reniya KellyG | 33 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nyla BrooksG | 30 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Achol AkotF | 24 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sophie BurrowsG | 24 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Gabby WhiteG | 17 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Taissa QueirozG | 14 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Noelle BofiaC | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Laila HullG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Blanca ThomasC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe ClardyG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 79 | 48 | 22 | 29-86 | 11-40 | 10-17 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
Did not play Ciera Toomey dnp · Jordan Zubich dnp · Sydney Barker dnp
Team stats
Final| Oklahoma | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-75 | FG | 29-86 |
| 44.0% | FG% | 33.7% |
| 10-28 | 3PT | 11-40 |
| 35.7% | 3PT% | 27.5% |
| 15-20 | FT | 10-17 |
| 53 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 18 | Off reb | 24 |
| 23 | Assists | 22 |
| 10 | Steals | 16 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
86.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedOklahoma 76.3 · North Carolina 74.4
Our lineOklahoma −1.8
Total150.7
Win probNorth Carolina 44% · Oklahoma 56%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.