South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
SC Upstate58
Wake Forest65FinalLJVM ColiseumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Upstate | 17 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 58 |
 Wake Forest | 22 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 65 |
Box score
FinalSouth Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace BoothG | 32 | 12 | 18 | 1 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Aubrie KierschtG | 32 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Emma BlairF | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Keira HudsonG | 21 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Vera SoderblomF | 21 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Kinley PatersonG | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Macy WikeG | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Zoe RichardsonF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Lexi CastatorG | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Madison MillerF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 58 | 46 | 9 | 24-64 | 4-15 | 6-9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 24 |
Did not play Haylie Lamonde dnp · Izzy Callaway dnp · Jessa Troy dnp
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary CarterG | 36 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Breauna WareG | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Aurora SorbyeG | 27 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Oshauna HollandG | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Opal BirdF | 24 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Grace GalbavyG | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Helena DanielewiczF | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Madisyn JordanG | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mckenzie SwansonF | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Adora NwudeG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 65 | 31 | 10 | 20-55 | 6-23 | 19-24 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 14 |
Did not play Alexis Cashdollar dnp · Ramiyah Byrd dnp · Savannah Metcalfe dnp
Team stats
Final| SC Upstate | Wake Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-64 | FG | 20-55 |
| 37.5% | FG% | 36.4% |
| 4-15 | 3PT | 6-23 |
| 26.7% | 3PT% | 26.1% |
| 6-9 | FT | 19-24 |
| 46 | Rebounds | 31 |
| 16 | Off reb | 6 |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 24 | Fouls | 14 |
73.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedSC Upstate 50.7 · Wake Forest 75.8
Our lineWake Forest −25.0
Total126.5
Win probWake Forest 97% · SC Upstate 3%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.