Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Southern39
Oklahoma St81FinalGallagher-Iba ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southern | 13 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 39 |
 Oklahoma St | 25 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 81 |
Box score
FinalSouthern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deniya ThorntonG | 32 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Dalayja Hurt-FloydG | 31 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Zaria HurstonF | 29 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Alisha NunleyG | 28 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Taniya LawsonG | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Anaja HallC | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Diamond HunterG | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aubri WilkinsG | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaliyah ScottG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 39 | 30 | 7 | 15-59 | 5-23 | 4-7 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 17 |
Did not play DeMya Porter dnp · J'yana Salton dnp · Jestiny Dixon dnp · Jocelyn Tate dnp · Taelar Felton dnp · Uniyah Franklin dnp
Oklahoma State Cowgirls
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stailee HeardG | 27 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Nene NdiayeG | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Audi CrooksC | 24 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Liv McGillG | 24 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Yuting DengG | 24 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Callin HakeG | 21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| LA SneedG | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Talexa WeeterG | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ellie BrueggemannG | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zoe CanfieldG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Addisyn BollingerG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 81 | 54 | 19 | 29-64 | 8-29 | 15-20 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 13 |
Did not play Mojca Jelenc dnp
Team stats
Final| Southern | Oklahoma St | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-59 | FG | 29-64 |
| 25.4% | FG% | 45.3% |
| 5-23 | 3PT | 8-29 |
| 21.7% | 3PT% | 27.6% |
| 4-7 | FT | 15-20 |
| 30 | Rebounds | 54 |
| 9 | Off reb | 18 |
| 7 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
70.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedSouthern 51.9 · Oklahoma St 83.4
Our lineOklahoma St −31.5
Total135.2
Win probOklahoma St 99% · Southern 1%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.