Xavier Musketeers vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Xavier75
Purdue FW63FinalHilliard Gates Sports CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xavier | 17 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 75 |
 Purdue FW | 21 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 63 |
Box score
FinalXavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucile JeromeG | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 12-21 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Meri KanervaG | 38 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Diawna Carter-HartleyF | 27 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Kejia RanG | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kodee Williams-SefoG | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hila KarshG | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Maria Anais RodriguezF | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Marta MoscarellaG | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Morgan JenkinsNA | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 75 | 43 | 11 | 31-74 | 6-26 | 7-12 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
Did not play Denise Neves dnp · Mya Moore dnp · Payton Richards dnp · Stella Mavuanga dnp
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nika LokicaG | 36 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Avery WagnerF | 35 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Maddie LepleyG | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Claire GregwerF | 28 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Meegan FahyG | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Karis ThomasG | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Amaris TimmonsF | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa BerryG | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Bailee DuckG | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Madison LewisG | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alivia BolingerG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 63 | 36 | 12 | 22-53 | 6-23 | 13-18 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 |
Did not play Hiba Malkawi dnp · Riley Pepple dnp
Team stats
Final| Xavier | Purdue FW | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-74 | FG | 22-53 |
| 41.9% | FG% | 41.5% |
| 6-26 | 3PT | 6-23 |
| 23.1% | 3PT% | 26.1% |
| 7-12 | FT | 13-18 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 19 | Off reb | 9 |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
68.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedXavier 61.5 · Purdue FW 69.4
Our linePurdue FW −7.9
Total130.8
Win probPurdue FW 75% · Xavier 25%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.