Merrimack Warriors vs Florida State Seminoles
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Merrimack51
Florida St81FinalTucker CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Merrimack | 15 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 51 |
 Florida St | 16 | 22 | 29 | 14 | 81 |
Box score
FinalMerrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristen KelleyG | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Joi WilliamsG | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Olivia BorsutzkiG | 30 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Jamie KentF | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Claudia CrespoG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Naomi WilsonF | 23 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Claudia MarinaG | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Jenna MishouF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Emma DibarboureF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Abriel Grant-CaracasG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Csenge SzomszedF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samantha GrellaG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 51 | 38 | 10 | 19-49 | 6-22 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 8 |
Did not play Kelsey Miller dnp · Mia Carmody dnp · Olivia Vick dnp
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum GreeneG | 24 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sole WilliamsG | 23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Missy OdomF | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Savannah HendersonF | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Morgan StewartG | 20 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Aga MakuratF | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Timaya Lewis-EutseyG | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Emma RischG | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joy EgbunaF | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mari GertonG | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Asia LeeG | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kennedy LouxG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 81 | 35 | 11 | 34-79 | 9-29 | 4-8 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
Did not play Avery Treadwell dnp · Chamiah Francis dnp · Ice Brady dnp · Jasmine Nivar dnp
Team stats
Final| Merrimack | Florida St | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-49 | FG | 34-79 |
| 38.8% | FG% | 43.0% |
| 6-22 | 3PT | 9-29 |
| 27.3% | 3PT% | 31.0% |
| 7-8 | FT | 4-8 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 35 |
| 8 | Off reb | 14 |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 18 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 34 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
78.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedMerrimack 65.3 · Florida St 80.8
Our lineFlorida St −15.5
Total146.1
Win probFlorida St 90% · Merrimack 10%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.