Belmont Bruins vs Princeton Tigers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Belmont52
Princeton63FinalJadwin GymnasiumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Belmont | 10 | 8 | 21 | 13 | 52 |
 Princeton | 12 | 13 | 14 | 24 | 63 |
Box score
FinalBelmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley McCarnG | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Quinn EubankG | 32 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| KK BrodieC | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Chelby JordanG | 30 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Katie CriswellG | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kate McGinnisG | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tatum WoodsonG | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Rylie BeersG | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Samiya JonesF | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 52 | 33 | 7 | 23-62 | 4-20 | 2-3 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
Did not play Lauren Rust dnp · Leah West dnp
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fadima TallF | 37 | 29 | 22 | 1 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Skye BelkerG | 36 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Olivia HutchersonG | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Ashley CheaG | 27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Grace O'SullivanG | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Toby NwekeG | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Emily EadieF | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cristina ParrellaG | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mari BickleyG | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 63 | 44 | 10 | 20-58 | 6-26 | 17-19 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
Did not play Ava Yoon dnp · Eva Smith dnp · Mei-Ling Perry dnp · Sarah Aldeguer dnp · Sarah Lessig dnp
Team stats
Final| Belmont | Princeton | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-62 | FG | 20-58 |
| 37.1% | FG% | 34.5% |
| 4-20 | 3PT | 6-26 |
| 20.0% | 3PT% | 23.1% |
| 2-3 | FT | 17-19 |
| 33 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 12 | Off reb | 17 |
| 7 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
61.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedBelmont 57.7 · Princeton 71.4
Our linePrinceton −13.7
Total129.0
Win probPrinceton 87% · Belmont 13%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.