Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Green Bay60
Duke76FinalCameron Indoor StadiumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Green Bay | 18 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 60 |
 Duke | 16 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 76 |
Box score
FinalGreen Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy SkorupskiG | 38 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Elisa MeviusG | 35 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Kristina OuimetteG | 33 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| McKenna JohnsonG | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Jorey BuwaldaF | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Meghan SchultzF | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Gracie GrzeskF | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Maren WestinG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ady KetterhagenG | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Julianna OuimetteG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kallie PepplerG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyrin LileF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lillie JohnsonG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophie LahtiF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 60 | 31 | 10 | 19-58 | 7-23 | 15-18 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 18 |
Did not play Madison Hoffmann dnp · Riley Ketterhagen dnp
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah CrumpG | 34 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Riley NelsonG | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Delaney ThomasF | 26 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Arianna RobersonC | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Emilee SkinnerG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Autumn FlearyG | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Jordan WoodF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bella FlemingsG | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jadyn DonovanG | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 76 | 44 | 17 | 29-64 | 7-23 | 11-14 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
Did not play Emma Koabel dnp · Olivia Martin dnp · Sanai Green dnp · Taylor Sofilkanich dnp · Toby Fournier dnp
Team stats
Final| Green Bay | Duke | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-58 | FG | 29-64 |
| 32.8% | FG% | 45.3% |
| 7-23 | 3PT | 7-23 |
| 30.4% | 3PT% | 30.4% |
| 15-18 | FT | 11-14 |
| 31 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 9 | Off reb | 14 |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
72.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Tuesday, November 3ProjectedGreen Bay 51.5 · Duke 77.1
Our lineDuke −25.5
Total128.6
Win probDuke 97% · Green Bay 3%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.