Saint Mary's Gaels vs Stanford Cardinal
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Saint Mary's54
Stanford87FinalMaples PavilionScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saint Mary's | 12 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 54 |
 Stanford | 25 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 87 |
Box score
FinalSaint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail ShoffF | 28 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Charlece OhiaeriG | 27 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Lucy AherneF | 26 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Lihi AzouriG | 24 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Evelyn TounkaraF | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Niveya HenleyG | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| NaTallia UrlacherG | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Nina KlepG | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Audrey BhesaniaG | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Ave OdegardF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Agata WlazF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 54 | 25 | 8 | 20-53 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 25 | 19 |
Did not play Addi Wedin dnp · Ella Wedin dnp · Emily Foy dnp · Irene Andreou dnp
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailee SwainG | 34 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Shay IjiwoyeG | 33 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Ines Sotelo MiguezF | 28 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alexandra EschmeyerF | 27 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nora EzikeF | 23 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Ilse de VriesF | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charlotte TuhyF | 16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kennedy UmehC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Elyse NgendaG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Gracyn GilliardG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kiara GreenC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 87 | 40 | 22 | 35-62 | 6-17 | 11-18 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
Did not play Jordyn Wheeler dnp
Team stats
Final| Saint Mary's | Stanford | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 | FG | 35-62 |
| 37.7% | FG% | 56.5% |
| 10-20 | 3PT | 6-17 |
| 50.0% | 3PT% | 35.3% |
| 4-7 | FT | 11-18 |
| 25 | Rebounds | 40 |
| 6 | Off reb | 10 |
| 8 | Assists | 22 |
| 8 | Steals | 16 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
75.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedSaint Mary's 53.0 · Stanford 71.2
Our lineStanford −18.2
Total124.2
Win probStanford 93% · Saint Mary's 7%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.