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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs UMBC Retrievers

Tipoff, where to watch, and the model's read before the ball goes up.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers logoMount St Marys–UMBC Retrievers logoUMBC–6:00 PM EST · Thursday, November 5Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena📺 ESPN+

The line score and both box scores land at tipoff.

What the model says

Thursday, November 5
ProjectedMount St Marys 57.6 · UMBC 68.4
Our lineUMBC −10.7
Total126.0
Win probUMBC 82% · Mount St Marys 18%

These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.