Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Navy91
Mount St Marys63FinalKnott ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Navy | 19 | 28 | 24 | 20 | 91 |
 Mount St Marys | 15 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 63 |
Box score
FinalNavy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe MesuchG | 29 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Zanai Barnett-GayG | 27 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Christina LiggioG | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isa GrantF | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Julianna AlmeidaG | 18 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Mary GibbonsG | 17 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Lizzie HolderF | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Saran MoschellaG | 12 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kelsey RhyneG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinn BoettingerF | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sidney QuinnF | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace MinihaneG | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Nia HenleyG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | — | 91 | 51 | 22 | 34-75 | 11-28 | 12-22 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 18 |
Did not play Kaitlyn Raagas dnp
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyla FowlerG | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Valentina SaricF | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Alana PowellG | 25 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Lenora NkangwenF | 25 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jayla KoserG | 22 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Nyodie GuerardG | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Eva AndrewsG | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Thelma BarbitchG | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wesleigh FergusonG | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Karmen McDuffieG | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachael ChilickiF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 63 | 34 | 15 | 22-61 | 6-29 | 13-20 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
Did not play Giselle Wyche dnp · Nevaeh Ferrara Horne dnp · Severyn Ferrara Horne dnp · Teodora Ivanovic dnp · Yacine Ndiaye dnp
Team stats
Final| Navy | Mount St Marys | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-75 | FG | 22-61 |
| 45.3% | FG% | 36.1% |
| 11-28 | 3PT | 6-29 |
| 39.3% | 3PT% | 20.7% |
| 12-22 | FT | 13-20 |
| 51 | Rebounds | 34 |
| 18 | Off reb | 8 |
| 22 | Assists | 15 |
| 12 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
83.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedNavy 67.4 · Mount St Marys 58.2
Our lineNavy −9.2
Total125.6
Win probMount St Marys 22% · Navy 78%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.