East Texas A&M Lions vs Cincinnati Bearcats
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
East Texas A&M58
Cincinnati66FinalFifth Third ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 East Texas A&M | 9 | 13 | 21 | 15 | 58 |
 Cincinnati | 15 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 66 |
Box score
FinalEast Texas A&M Lions
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cora HorvathG | 33 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| Rezia CastilloG | 29 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Samantha SerranoG | 29 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Terrayah McCoyG | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jailynn BrillF | 24 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Jadyn FifeF | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Blayke BrackensG | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Torie SevierF | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nina HorvathG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 58 | 34 | 9 | 21-56 | 5-19 | 11-14 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 19 |
Did not play Brooklyn Terry dnp · Destine Duckworth dnp · Jeriyah Baines dnp · Zoee Mitchell dnp
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caliyah DeVillaseeG | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jade JonesG | 28 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sahnya JahG | 27 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Amber BullardC | 21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Reagan JacksonG | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Joya CrawfordG | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Naomi BensonF | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Marta FernandezG | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Dee AlexanderF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaidyn GunterG | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kali BarrettF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mary CardenC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 66 | 37 | 9 | 25-60 | 0-7 | 16-23 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 16 |
Did not play Paige Whitted dnp · Yar Tong dnp · Zou Garba dnp
Team stats
Final| East Texas A&M | Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 | FG | 25-60 |
| 37.5% | FG% | 41.7% |
| 5-19 | 3PT | 0-7 |
| 26.3% | 3PT% | 0.0% |
| 11-14 | FT | 16-23 |
| 34 | Rebounds | 37 |
| 10 | Off reb | 13 |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
69.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedEast Texas A&M 57.7 · Cincinnati 78.0
Our lineCincinnati −20.2
Total135.7
Win probCincinnati 94% · East Texas A&M 6%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.