San Diego Toreros vs New Mexico State Aggies
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
San Diego61
New Mexico St56FinalPan American CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego | 9 | 17 | 27 | 8 | 61 |
 New Mexico St | 16 | 12 | 20 | 8 | 56 |
Box score
FinalSan Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie RayG | 37 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Kiera PembertonF | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 9-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Olivia OwensG | 27 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Sammie WagnerG | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Eva RuseF | 22 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Lilly AmorG | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jessica AjayiG | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Braelynn BarnettF | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ayla WilliamsF | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Lauren McCallG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 61 | 36 | 7 | 20-57 | 5-23 | 16-20 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 24 |
Did not play Kate Danner dnp · Rosalie Esser dnp · Ryanne Bahnsen-Price dnp
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aimée MichelF | 32 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Stacy ChovinoF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Talia KavokaG | 29 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Raina TomasickaG | 28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Lilyana FontchaC | 28 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Eva AgbaG | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Eva HamlilG | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Aissatou Keita CissokoC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Imane LoubibetF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 56 | 39 | 6 | 19-52 | 2-14 | 16-24 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 22 |
Did not play Emma Christiano dnp · Jana Vesic dnp · Sena Sert dnp
Team stats
Final| San Diego | New Mexico St | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 | FG | 19-52 |
| 35.1% | FG% | 36.5% |
| 5-23 | 3PT | 2-14 |
| 21.7% | 3PT% | 14.3% |
| 16-20 | FT | 16-24 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 39 |
| 12 | Off reb | 11 |
| 7 | Assists | 6 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
71.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedSan Diego 64.7 · New Mexico St 64.0
Our lineSan Diego −0.7
Total128.7
Win probNew Mexico St 48% · San Diego 52%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.