Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Nevada64
LMU89FinalGersten PavilionScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nevada | 19 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 64 |
 LMU | 20 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 89 |
Box score
FinalNevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahaila HarrisonG | 28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Sierra ChambersG | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| Aili TankeG | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Alexis SwillisC | 23 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Olivia PoulivaatiF | 20 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Izzy SullivanG | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Delaney ArredondoG | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Hanna JolinderG | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Amelia RaidavetaF | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Imbie JonesF | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taua PulokaG | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Britain BackusPG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kendra HicksF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 64 | 27 | 15 | 21-54 | 9-24 | 13-21 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 21 |
Did not play Elle Motherway dnp · Gabby Ramos dnp
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison ClarkeG | 30 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Shawnee NordstromG | 28 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Maya HernandezF | 26 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ivana KrajinaG | 25 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Kayla JonesF | 23 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Ali'a MatavaoF | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarah DengG | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Danae PowellG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Erica FinneyG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Mari SomvichianG | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ana MilanovicF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Shanayka IsmarG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 89 | 28 | 16 | 33-58 | 5-16 | 18-24 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
Did not play Janay Brantley dnp · Lova Lagerlid dnp
Team stats
Final| Nevada | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 | FG | 33-58 |
| 38.9% | FG% | 56.9% |
| 9-24 | 3PT | 5-16 |
| 37.5% | 3PT% | 31.3% |
| 13-21 | FT | 18-24 |
| 27 | Rebounds | 28 |
| 13 | Off reb | 9 |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 26 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
75.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedNevada 55.6 · LMU 68.3
Our lineLMU −12.7
Total124.0
Win probLMU 86% · Nevada 15%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.