Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Tarleton State Texans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
AR-Pine Bluff47
Tarleton St66FinalEECU CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AR-Pine Bluff | 10 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 47 |
 Tarleton St | 21 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 66 |
Box score
FinalArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiya BowenG | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1-16 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Jasmine DavisG | 34 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Tyra TaylorF | 30 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Yasmyn PalmerC | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jailah PellyG | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Parc LigginsG | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ruth BanjokoF | 16 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jada JamesG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malanie FrancisC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Taylor BallewG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sanai BranchG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 47 | 36 | 4 | 15-58 | 1-12 | 16-22 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 20 | 24 |
Did not play Alayiah Price dnp · DaMya Wilson dnp · Jakyra Jackson dnp · Khaniah Gardner dnp
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia MedfordG | 34 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Stephany GonçalvesG | 33 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Caroline LylesG | 33 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Kristian HieskillG | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Lucia NavarroG | 28 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kendall FordG | 24 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Nyah BuntunG | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Astrid MukulumpeF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brooklyn KingG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Alayna YatesF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marie DiameG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 66 | 40 | 14 | 22-50 | 5-16 | 17-24 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 20 |
Did not play Jovana Spasovski dnp · Lesline Salim Penge dnp · Rose Boisnel dnp
Team stats
Final| AR-Pine Bluff | Tarleton St | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-58 | FG | 22-50 |
| 25.9% | FG% | 44.0% |
| 1-12 | 3PT | 5-16 |
| 8.3% | 3PT% | 31.3% |
| 16-22 | FT | 17-24 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 40 |
| 15 | Off reb | 10 |
| 4 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 24 | Fouls | 20 |
71.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedAR-Pine Bluff 59.1 · Tarleton St 76.5
Our lineTarleton St −17.4
Total135.6
Win probTarleton St 92% · AR-Pine Bluff 8%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.