Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
FDU66
Baylor87FinalFoster PavilionScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FDU | 13 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 66 |
 Baylor | 30 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 87 |
Box score
FinalFairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese DowneyG | 32 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rebecca Osei-OwusuF | 26 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Leah CrosbyF | 26 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Ane ValleG | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Theresa BiladiG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Iriona GravleyF | 19 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ally KaminskiG | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ophir WeintraubG | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Analyse IntenzoG | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Megan NgoG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sofia TavarezG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jada ElstonG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 66 | 31 | 10 | 26-65 | 7-18 | 7-16 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 18 |
Did not play Jordis Reisner dnp · Madison Stuart dnp · Maggie Bishopp dnp · Ryan Prunzik dnp
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity TurnerG | 31 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Reese RossF | 30 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Tianna ThompsonG | 28 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Ines GoryanovaG | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Taliah ScottG | 21 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kate KovalF | 21 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Kayla NelmsF | 20 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Skylar JonesG | 19 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Lorena AwouC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Team | — | 87 | 48 | 20 | 35-65 | 7-20 | 10-21 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 17 |
Did not play Ella Brow dnp · Kyla Abraham dnp · Marcayla Johnson dnp
Team stats
Final| FDU | Baylor | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 | FG | 35-65 |
| 40.0% | FG% | 53.8% |
| 7-18 | 3PT | 7-20 |
| 38.9% | 3PT% | 35.0% |
| 7-16 | FT | 10-21 |
| 31 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 10 | Off reb | 14 |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
75.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedFDU 50.8 · Baylor 69.9
Our lineBaylor −19.1
Total120.7
Win probBaylor 94% · FDU 6%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.