Alabama State Lady Hornets vs Auburn Tigers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Alabama St35
Auburn84FinalNeville ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama St | 16 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 35 |
 Auburn | 15 | 29 | 21 | 19 | 84 |
Box score
FinalAlabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londyn WalkerG | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Alanah PoolerF | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ny'Keria FlowersG | 23 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Rachel GriffinF | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Charlese McClendonF | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Takya Walters-NormanG | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| McKayla TaylorC | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Elliott JessupF | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kaleigh HeywoodG | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Karrell GreeneG | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Caylee SimpsonG | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Morghan SlaterG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamori DanielsG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 35 | 32 | 2 | 12-50 | 3-17 | 8-14 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 23 | 29 |
Did not play Calise Chisholm dnp · Makala Hobdy dnp
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle OshoF | 29 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Zahara BishopG | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Sania RichardsonG | 23 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jessica PetersonF | 21 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley KnoxG | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ja'Mia HarrisG | 20 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Phoenix StotijnG | 20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Savannah ScottC | 19 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Syriah DanielsG | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kaitlyn DuhonG | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Zaniyah WilliamsG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eva GarabadianG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 84 | 43 | 17 | 25-51 | 8-21 | 26-39 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 20 |
Did not play Quanirah Montague dnp · Sira Thienou dnp
Team stats
Final| Alabama St | Auburn | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-50 | FG | 25-51 |
| 24.0% | FG% | 49.0% |
| 3-17 | 3PT | 8-21 |
| 17.6% | 3PT% | 38.1% |
| 8-14 | FT | 26-39 |
| 32 | Rebounds | 43 |
| 14 | Off reb | 17 |
| 2 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 23 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 29 | Fouls | 20 |
66.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedAlabama St 53.6 · Auburn 80.1
Our lineAuburn −26.5
Total133.7
Win probAuburn 98% · Alabama St 2%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.