Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Ball State Cardinals
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Arkansas St74
Ball State84FinalWorthen ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arkansas St | 17 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 74 |
 Ball State | 18 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 84 |
Box score
FinalArkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn RoseG | 34 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Amina GrayG | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| Monica MarshG | 20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Audreonia BensonG | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jermesha FriersonG | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Angela CarrollF | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| Ta'Niyah DavisG | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Maya ChocanoG | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jaidyn ElamG | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Allyson FergusonF | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jasmine JordanC | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 74 | 37 | 12 | 24-70 | 7-37 | 19-30 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 32 |
Did not play Aniyah Ruddock dnp
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace KingeryG | 36 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 10-22 | 4-12 | 9-11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Lilli BarnesG | 30 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 |
| Faith WalkerG | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tessa TowersF | 26 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Aniss TagayiG | 25 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Karsyn NormanG | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Helen HolleyG | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Giorgia GoriniG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zhen VerburgtG | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Team | — | 84 | 51 | 15 | 27-61 | 5-19 | 25-36 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 25 |
Did not play Klaske Miedema dnp
Team stats
Final| Arkansas St | Ball State | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-70 | FG | 27-61 |
| 34.3% | FG% | 44.3% |
| 7-37 | 3PT | 5-19 |
| 18.9% | 3PT% | 26.3% |
| 19-30 | FT | 25-36 |
| 37 | Rebounds | 51 |
| 16 | Off reb | 17 |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 12 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 26 |
| 32 | Fouls | 25 |
86.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedArkansas St 75.9 · Ball State 79.8
Our lineBall State −3.9
Total155.6
Win probBall State 63% · Arkansas St 37%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.