App State Mountaineers vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
App State74
E Michigan62FinalGervin GameAbove CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 App State | 23 | 10 | 25 | 16 | 74 |
 E Michigan | 12 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 62 |
Box score
FinalApp State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joi WilliamsG | 31 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Daisia MitchellG | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Torin RogersG | 28 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Raven PrestonG | 27 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| Feryal Defne AtliF | 25 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Jadyn AtchisonG | 22 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jayden McBrideG | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Addie BielF | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Riley StokerG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isa RomanG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 74 | 37 | 14 | 30-63 | 9-20 | 5-8 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 19 |
Did not play Camiah Muldrow dnp · Jaida McClure dnp · Zoe Smith dnp
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe GuiceG | 39 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Peyton HillF | 36 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Fernanda OvalleF | 29 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Oliwia PelkaF | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Ni'Rah ClarkC | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Believe TshibanguF | 22 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Anna HabraG | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Alli ZajacC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Paula BaladaG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Molly SissonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 62 | 39 | 10 | 22-63 | 6-17 | 12-13 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 13 |
Did not play Adrena Gordon dnp · Chey McEvans dnp · Ruby Brannon dnp · Sarah Rekowski dnp
Team stats
Final| App State | E Michigan | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 | FG | 22-63 |
| 47.6% | FG% | 34.9% |
| 9-20 | 3PT | 6-17 |
| 45.0% | 3PT% | 35.3% |
| 5-8 | FT | 12-13 |
| 37 | Rebounds | 39 |
| 12 | Off reb | 17 |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 14 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
74.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedApp State 61.9 · E Michigan 64.1
Our lineE Michigan −2.2
Total125.9
Win probE Michigan 57% · App State 43%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.