North Dakota State Bison vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
N Dakota St56
Gonzaga62FinalMcCarthey Athletic CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N Dakota St | 13 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 56 |
 Gonzaga | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28 | 62 |
Box score
FinalNorth Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karrington AspF | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Marisa FrostG | 31 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jocelyn SchillerG | 30 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Elena LazarevicG | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sophie HawkinsonG | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Miriley SimonF | 19 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Lily NiebuhrF | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| McKenna JohnsonF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Avery KoenenF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Abby KrzewinskiG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Madelynn MunizG | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 56 | 34 | 8 | 23-55 | 4-20 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17 |
Did not play Georgia Ell dnp · Liza Trenbeath dnp
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie TurnerG | 35 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Teryn GardnerG | 31 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lauren WhittakerF | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Zeryhia AokusoG | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Taylor SmithF | 21 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| McKynnlie DalanF | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julia WilsonG | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ines BettencourtG | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Abby LuskF | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Emmy RoachG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Christabel OsaroboG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 62 | 36 | 21 | 25-61 | 5-18 | 7-9 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 14 |
Did not play Jaiden Haile dnp · Jocelyn Medina dnp
Team stats
Final| N Dakota St | Gonzaga | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 | FG | 25-61 |
| 41.8% | FG% | 41.0% |
| 4-20 | 3PT | 5-18 |
| 20.0% | 3PT% | 27.8% |
| 6-7 | FT | 7-9 |
| 34 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 8 | Off reb | 12 |
| 8 | Assists | 21 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
66.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedN Dakota St 64.5 · Gonzaga 66.2
Our lineGonzaga −1.7
Total130.7
Win probGonzaga 56% · N Dakota St 44%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.