North Alabama Lions vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
North Alabama27
Mississippi St68FinalHumphrey ColiseumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 North Alabama | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
 Mississippi St | 15 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 68 |
Box score
FinalNorth Alabama Lions
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venla UlanderC | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Amy KurkowskiF | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Greta RamonG | 20 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Emma D'esteC | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Maria StefancovaG | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Brynn LusbyF | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ella MacleodG | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Joceline GearaG | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| MarcKalia CelestineC | 13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Olivia TredreaG | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Vera GunaydinG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Phoebe HolmesG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Zamyra WallaceG | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 27 | 44 | 4 | 9-54 | 2-26 | 7-17 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 18 |
Did not play Brooke Hallman dnp · Kyah Smith dnp
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese BeatyG | 28 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Madison FrancisF | 24 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Tootie LockettG | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Macie PhiferG | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Favour NwaedoziF | 21 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Cali SmallwoodG | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Aryss MacktoonG | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Lani SmallwoodG | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Grace NdubuezeF | 12 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Melissa GuilletG | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ludovica SammartinoF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrea FloresG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 68 | 45 | 9 | 27-64 | 4-19 | 10-15 | 17 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 21 |
Did not play Arianny Francisco de Oliveira dnp
Team stats
Final| North Alabama | Mississippi St | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-54 | FG | 27-64 |
| 16.7% | FG% | 42.2% |
| 2-26 | 3PT | 4-19 |
| 7.7% | 3PT% | 21.1% |
| 7-17 | FT | 10-15 |
| 44 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 22 | Off reb | 17 |
| 4 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 20 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 33 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
72.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Tuesday, November 3ProjectedNorth Alabama 54.7 · Mississippi St 83.0
Our lineMississippi St −28.3
Total137.7
Win probMississippi St 98% · North Alabama 2%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.